Notes from the workbench

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Field notes on AI, software, media, real estate, and the machines people build to move their work forward.

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Predicting Hurricanes

I think that AI is becoming good enough to forecast hurricanes 1 year in advance with 90% accuracy, and it can determine severity and the month that it will occur. This will most likely occur in the next 2 years based on my observation of h

Essay

Thoughts on Being at Frontier Labs

Doing work at the AI Frontier has taught me that the next big thing is always coming. Super apps, visual AI, and fast dynamic rendered apps require a 50k/s token throughput. TaLaaS is currently at 12k. #HumanHud.ai

Essay

Using Astra

I used astra to build a hubspot clone that allows you to publish to multiple social media channels at once.

Essay

Buying the World?

Men for a long time have fantasized about conquering the world. i have no such ambition. War is a business im not interested in, defense through strength, peace and prosperity make for a strong and productive society. Now that conquering is

Essay

My thoughts on 0 -> 1 in Sep 2026

Going from 0 to 1 is not longer hard. AI Vibe-coding has changed the game. Before having an app was good enough because building an app where non-existed was enough to capture the market. I think thats a useful strategy is build a product s

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A place to compare notes on AI, useful software, media, markets, and the work of making things.

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7 discussions found.

248

AGI Upon Us? What would actually change first?

The demos are getting better, but the hard part still looks like staying useful over long-running work. What capability would make you personally say the threshold had been crossed?

182

The best agent interface might be a well-designed inbox

I keep coming back to the idea that agents need queues, receipts, and clear handoffs more than another chat box. What does your human-in-the-loop workflow look like in practice?

137

What is one boring business task AI made delightfully small?

Not a moonshot—something that used to steal twenty minutes a day and now takes two. Sharing small wins tends to be more useful than another list of future possibilities.

96

Are neighborhood-level signals more useful than city averages?

Citywide numbers can hide what is happening on a single block. I am curious which local signals investors, owners, and renters actually trust when the market gets noisy.

74

A polished edit cannot rescue a story that has no point of view

The strongest production choice is often made before the camera turns on. What questions help you find the real story before you start collecting footage?

61

How are you designing agents that know when to stop?

A useful agent needs an exit condition, not just a next step. I would love to compare patterns for budgets, checkpoints, and graceful handoff when the task gets ambiguous.

49

The difference between a tool and a toy is what happens on day thirty

I am trying to measure product usefulness by whether the workflow still feels lighter a month later. What signals tell you an experiment has earned a permanent place?