I think that AI is becoming good enough to forecast hurricanes 1 year in advance with 90% accuracy, and it can determine severity and the month that it will occur.
This will most likely occur in the next 2 years based on my observation of how quickly AI models are evolving and AI's ability to train other AI. In fact, I think this will be the first test of AGI.
Thoughts, questions, and useful disagreement go here.